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John Santos-Ocampo AMP
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Mortgage Broker
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Direct Line: (604) 506-0397
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Toll
free (Canada) : 1-800-504-5886
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November 2005
Dear homeowner or investor,
As a homeowner (or prospective homeowner), investor or real estate
professional, you rely on your mortgage professional to keep you informed
about interest rate movements and trends. This newsletter is
designed to do just that.
In this issue:
- Market commentary and Interest rate trends
- State of the Canadian mortgage market
- In the news
Please check out my NEW affiliate website: BCHomeBuyer.ca .
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Market commentary & Interest rate
trends
The Bank of Canada (BOC) moved up the key interest rate
on Oct 18, 2005 by 0.25 percent to 3.00%.
Consequently, the major banks increased their prime rate
to 4.75%. The increase may be the last for this
year. The higher interest rate is helping push the Canadian dollar
higher. This is hurting the manufacturing sector in Ontario.
As expected, fixed rates have
increased. The 5-year fixed rate is now
at 4.74%. There is more pressure to
increase. Prospective home buyers should take
advantage of their pre-approvals before the expiry dates.
Variable rate mortgage are again a good
choice. The rate increases may be
over. Secondly, the gap between the variable rate and the
5 year fixed rate has widened.
Rates and Charts
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Prime @
4.50%
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|
Term |
Sep
16 |
Sep
23 |
Sep
30 |
Oct 7 |
Oct
14 |
Oct
21 |
Oct
28 |
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3
year |
4.25% |
4.25% |
4.25% |
4.25% |
4.25% |
4.25% |
4.55% |
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5
year |
4.50% |
4.50% |
4.50% |
4.50% |
4.50% |
4.50% |
4.74% |
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10
year |
4.92% |
5.05% |
5.05% |
5.05% |
5.05% |
5.10% |
5.19% |
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Table shows the discounted residential mortgage
rates for 3, 5 and 10 yr closed fixed rate mortgages
For a longer term view, click here to see
the 3, 5 & 10 year best residential rate since September
2003 (updated monthly)
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Click to view other relevant
graphs
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Everything you wanted to know about the State of the
Residential Mortgage Market in Canada.
Will Dunning Inc conducted economic research for the Candian Iinstitute
of Mortgage Brokers amd Lenders (CIMBL) on the state of the Canadian
mortgage market. It's a must read for mortgage professionals.
Here is a summary of the report:
1) $617 Billion in mortgage balances outstanding in Canada. 2) 6.4%
growth year over year for the past 5 years and 9.4% growth the past 2
years in mortgages outstanding. Far outstretching the growth in the
Canadian economy which is about 4.7% during the same time period. 3) In
2004 mortgage credit expanded $55 Billion. In 2003 $43 Billion. 4) 61%
of all mortgages are administered by the Banks. 5) 90% of Canadians are
satisfied with their mortgage. 6) 37% of all mortgages outstanding have
been negotiated in the past 12 months. 7) Amongst those that refinanced
or renewed their mortgage 87% stayed with the same lender. 8) Those
that renewed their mortgage in the past 12 months, 40% increased the
mortgage balance. The average increase on renewal was $25,100.00. 9)
31% have a 5 year term. 14% have terms greater than 5 years. 10) The
average discount off posted is now 1.33%. 11) 21% are due for renewal
within 12 months. 12) 69% have fixed rate mortgages vs 31% in
variable. 13) Prediction that with bond rates rising customers will opt
for fixed rate mortgages in 2006. 14) 25% of those surveyed consulted a
mortgage broker. 74% went to their bank. Some, of course, went
to both. 15) CMHC predicts the mortgage market will expand by 7 to
10%. 16) The author of this study predict 10% - 11% growth this year in
mortgage credit. Reaching $660 Billion. 17) Residential mortgages
account for 1/3 of all household and business credit in Canada. 18)
Average increase in house prices is 7.4% yearly from 1999 to 2004
Click here
to read the full report.

In the News
(excerpts from recent press releases)
1) Strong housing market to continue? (Van
Sun, Oct 28, 2005) - Upward swing in the housing
market to go through 2006 and 2007, BC economist predicts.
Click here
to read more.
2) Fix or float: a personal choice (Financial
Post, Oct 7, 2005) - CIBC's monthly economic
newsletter. Just a few years ago, it was clear that going
with a variable rate mortgage would save you money. But heavy
discounts on fixed rate mortgages and the narrowing spread between short
and long-term interest rates have made the choice less
obvoius. Click here
to read more.
3) CIBC World Market's Monthly Indicators (CIBC World
Markets, Oct 6, 2005) - CIBC's monthly economic
newsletter. CIBC is predicting the prime rate to remain the
same in Dec 2005 and remain there until the end of 2006. Click here
to read more.

Links and Resources:
1) Royal Bank - Financial Market
Weekly
2) TD Economics - Economic news & forecasts
3) Bank of Canada - Key policy
rate

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Please consider the information provided in this newsletter as
general information. Before you do anything consult a
professional.
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